Kusvika papi masayendisiti, mabhizinesi uye maCEO emakambani makuru anobvumidza kukurumidza kusimudzira tekinoroji, vanoona sei ramangwana redu uye vane hukama sei nekuvanzika kwedata ravo?
techno-optimists
- Ray Kurzweil, Google CTO, futurist
"Artificial intelligence hakusi kutorwa kwevatorwa kubva kuMars, mhedzisiro yehungwaru hwevanhu. Ndinotenda kuti tekinoroji inozopedzisira yabatanidzwa mumiviri yedu nehuropi uye ichakwanisa kubatsira hutano hwedu.
Semuenzaniso, isu tichabatanidza neocortex yedu kune gore, tozviita vakangwara uye kugadzira mhando nyowani dzeruzivo dzaive dzisingazivikanwe kwatiri. Uyu ndiwo muono wangu weramangwana, mamiriro edu ebudiriro panosvika 2030.
Isu tinoita michina yakangwara uye inotibatsira kuwedzera kugona kwedu. Hapana chakakasharara pamusoro pekubatanidzwa kwevanhu nehungwaru hwekugadzira: zviri kuitika izvozvi. Nhasi hapana hungwaru hwekunyepedzera munyika, asi kune mafoni anosvika mabhiriyoni matatu ane njere dzekugadzira” [3].
- Peter Diamandis, CEO weZero Gravity Corporation
“Tekinoroji yese ine simba yatakagadzira inoshandiswa zvakanaka nezvakaipa. Asi tarisa iyo data pamusoro penguva yakareba: yakawanda sei mari yekugadzira chikafu pamunhu yakaderera, yakawanda sei tarisiro yehupenyu yakawedzera.
Handisi kutaura kuti hakuzovi nezvinetso nekuvandudzwa kwemichina mitsva, asi, kazhinji, vanoita kuti nyika ive nzvimbo iri nani. Kwandiri, ndezvekuvandudza hupenyu hwemabhiriyoni evanhu vari mumamiriro ezvinhu akaoma ehupenyu, vari pedyo nekupona.
Pakazosvika 2030, kuve nemotokari kunenge kwave chinhu chekare. Iwe unoshandura garaji rako kuita imba yekurara yakasarudzika uye driveway yako kuita gadheni rerose. Mushure memangwanani emangwanani, iwe uchafamba uchienda kumusuwo wepamberi weimba yako: hungwaru hwekugadzira huchaziva hurongwa hwako, ona mafambiro aunoita, uye gadzirira motokari yemagetsi inozvimiririra. Sezvo usina kurara zvakakwana nezuro manheru, mubhedha uchawaridzwa kuchigaro chekumashure iwe – kuitira kuti ubvise kushaya hope uchienda kubasa.
- Michio Kaku, American theoretical physicist, popularizer yesainzi uye futurist
"Zvakanakira nzanga kubva mukushandiswa kwehunyanzvi zvinogara zvichipfuura kutyisidzira. Ndine chokwadi chekuti shanduko yedhijitari ichabatsira kubvisa kupokana kwechimanjemanje capitalism, kubata nekusashanda kwayo, kubvisa kuvapo muhupfumi hwevamiriri vasingawedzere chero kukosha chaiko kungave kumabhizinesi maitiro kana kune cheni pakati pemugadziri nemutengi.
Nerubatsiro rwemichina yedhijitari, vanhu, neimwe nzira, vachakwanisa kuwana kusafa. Zvichave zvichigoneka, toti, kuunganidza zvese zvatinoziva nezve akakurumbira akafa munhu, uye zvichibva paruzivo urwu kuita chitupa chake chedhijitari, achichiwedzera nemufananidzo chaiwo holographic. Zvichave zviri nyore kugadzira chitupa chedhijitari kumunhu mupenyu nekuverenga ruzivo kubva kuhuropi hwake uye kugadzira kaviri kaviri ”[3].
- Elon Musk, muzvinabhizimusi, muvambi weTesla uye SpaceX
"Ini ndinofarira zvinhu zvinoshandura nyika kana zvinokanganisa ramangwana, uye zvinoshamisa, matekinoroji matsva aunoona uye unoshamisika: "Wow, izvi zvakaitika sei? Izvi zvinobvira sei? [mana].
- Jeff Bezos, muvambi uye CEO weAmazon
“Kana zvasvika kune nzvimbo, ini ndinoshandisa zviwanikwa zvangu kuitira kuti chizvarwa chinotevera chevanhu chiite bhizimusi rebudiriro munzvimbo ino. Ini ndinofunga zvinogoneka uye ndinotenda kuti ini ndoziva kugadzira iyi masisitimu. Ndinoda zviuru zvemabhizinesi kuti vakwanise kuita zvinhu zvinoshamisa mudenga nekudzikisa zvakanyanya mutengo wekupinda kunze kwePasi.
"Zvinhu zvitatu zvakakosha muzvitoro inzvimbo, nzvimbo, nzvimbo. Zvinhu zvitatu zvakakosha zvebhizinesi redu revatengi tekinoroji, tekinoroji uye tekinoroji.
- Mikhail Kokorich, muvambi uye CEO weMomentus Space
"Ini ndinozviona ndiri techno-optimist. Mukuona kwangu, teknolojia iri kuenda kune kuvandudza hupenyu hwevanhu uye hurongwa hwemagariro evanhu munguva yepakati kusvika kwenguva refu, pasinei nezvinetso zvine chokuita nekuvanzika uye zvinogona kukuvadza - somuenzaniso, kana tikataura pamusoro pekuurayiwa kwevaUyghurs muChina.
Tekinoroji inotora nzvimbo huru muhupenyu hwangu, nekuti muchokwadi iwe unogara paInternet, munyika chaiyo. Hazvina mhosva kuti unochengetedza sei data rako pachako, ichiri pachena uye haigone kuvanzwa zvachose.
- Ruslan Fazliyev, muvambi we e-commerce platform ECWID uye X-Cart
"Nhoroondo yose yevanhu inhoroondo yetechno-optimism. Izvo zvekuti ndichiri kutorwa semudiki pa40 zvinogoneka nekuda kwehunyanzvi. Matauriro atinoita iye zvino ndiwo mhedzisiro yetekinoroji. Nhasi tinogona kuwana chero chigadzirwa muzuva rimwe chete, tisina kubva kumba - hatina kana kumboda kurota nezvazvo, asi ikozvino matekinoroji ari kushanda nekuvandudza zuva rega rega, kuchengetedza nguva yedu yekushandisa uye nekupa sarudzo isati yamboitika.
Yako data yakakosha, uye hongu, ini ndiri kufarira kuidzivirira zvakanyanya sezvinobvira. Asi kushanda nesimba uye kukurumidza kwakakosha kupfuura kuchengetedzwa kwekunyepedzera kwedata remunhu, iro riri panjodzi zvakadaro. Kana ndikakwanisa kukurumidza kuita mamwe maitiro, ndinogovera ruzivo rwangu pasina matambudziko. Makambani akaita seBig Four GAFA (Google, Amazon, Facebook, Apple) Ndinofunga unogona kuvimba nedata rako.
Ini ndinopesana nemitemo yemazuva ano yekudzivirira data. Chinodiwa chekubvumidzwa zvachose kune kutamiswa kwavo kunoita kuti mushandisi apedze maawa ehupenyu hwake achidzvanya zvibvumirano zvecookie uye kushandisa data remunhu. Izvi zvinodzikisira mafambiro ebasa, asi hazvo hazvibatsiri chero nzira uye hazvigone kudzivirira kubva pakudonha kwavo. Upofu hwekutendera nhaurirano hunogadzirwa. Maitiro akadaro ekudzivirira data emunhu haana kuverenga uye haabatsiri, anongokanganisa basa remushandisi paInternet. Tinoda zvakajairwa zvakajairwa izvo mushandisi anogona kupa kune ese mawebhusaiti uye anongobvumira kunze.
- Elena Behtina, CEO weDelimobil
“Chokwadi, ndiri techno-optimist. Ini ndinotenda kuti tekinoroji nedhijitari zvinorerutsa zvakanyanya hupenyu hwedu, zvichiwedzera kushanda kwayo. Kutaura chokwadi, ini handioni kutyisidzira mune ramangwana apo michina inotora nyika. Ndinotenda kuti tekinoroji mukana wakakura kwatiri. Sekuona kwangu, ramangwana ndere neural network, data hombe, hungwaru hwekugadzira uye Internet yezvinhu.
Ini ndakagadzirira kugovera yangu isiri-yangu data kuti ndigamuchire akanakisa masevhisi uye kunakidzwa nekushandisa kwavo. Pane zvakawanda zvakanaka mumichina yemazuva ano kupfuura njodzi. Vanokutendera kuti ugadzirise sarudzo yakakura yemasevhisi uye zvigadzirwa zvinoenderana nezvinodiwa nemunhu wega wega, zvichimuchengetedza nguva yakawanda. "
Technorealists uye technopessimists
- Francis, Papa
“Indaneti inogona kushandiswa kuvaka nzanga ine utano uye inogoverana. Nhau dzezvemagariro evanhu dzinogona kubatsira pakugara zvakanaka kwevanhu, asi dzinogonawo kutungamira mukuparadzana nekuparadzaniswa kwevanhu nemapoka. Kureva kuti, kutaurirana kwemazuva ano chipo chinobva kuna Mwari, izvo zvinosanganisira basa guru” [7].
“Kudai kufambira mberi kworuzivo rwokugadzira zvinhu kwaizova muvengi wezvakanaka zvavose, zvaizotungamirira kukuderera—kuchimiro choutsinye chinodzorwa nesimba ravane simba zvikurusa. Izvo zvakanaka zvakajairika hazvigone kupatsanurwa kubva kune chaiyo yakanaka yeumwe neumwe" [8].
- Yuval Noah Harari, munyori wemangwana
“Automation ichakurumidza kuparadza mamiriyoni emabasa. Hongu, mabasa matsva achatora nzvimbo yawo, asi hazvisati zvazivikanwa kana vanhu vachakwanisa kukurumidza kugona hunyanzvi hunodiwa. "
“Handisi kuedza kumisa kufambira mberi kweruzivo rwemichina. Pane kudaro, ndinoedza kumhanya nekukurumidza. Kana Amazon ichikuziva zvirinani pane zvaunozviziva iwe, mutambo wapera. "
“Artificial intelligence inovhundutsa vanhu vakawanda nekuti havatende kuti icharamba ichiteerera. Sainzi ngano inonyanya kuona mukana wekuti makomputa kana marobhoti achaziva - uye munguva pfupi vanozoedza kuuraya vanhu vese. Muchokwadi, pane chikonzero chidiki chekutenda kuti AI ichakudziridza kuziva sezvainovandudza. Tinofanira kutya AI chaizvo nekuti ingangogara ichiteerera vanhu uye kusambopanduka. Hachina kufanana nechimwe chombo nechombo; zvirokwazvo achabvumira zvisikwa zvine simba kare kuti vasimbise simba ravo zvakanyanya ”[10].
- Nicholas Carr, munyori weAmerica, mudzidzisi paYunivhesiti yeCalifornia
"Kana tikasangwarira, otomatiki yebasa repfungwa, nekushandura hunhu uye kutungamira kwekuita kwehungwaru, inogona kupedzisira yaparadza imwe yenheyo dzetsika pachayo - chishuwo chedu chekuziva nyika.
Kana tekinoroji isinganzwisisike ikave isingaoneki, unofanirwa kungwarira. Panguva ino, fungidziro nevavariro dzake zvinopinda pazvishuvo zvedu nezviito. Hatichaziva kana software iri kutibatsira kana kuti iri kutitonga. Tiri kutyaira, asi hatingave nechokwadi kuti ndiani chaizvo ari kutyaira” [11].
- Sherry Turkle, purofesa wezvepfungwa paMassachusetts Institute of Technology
"Iye zvino tasvika "nguva yerobhoti": iyi ndiyo nguva yatinoendesa hukama hwakakosha hwevanhu kumarobhoti, kunyanya kusangana muhuduku nekuchembera. Isu tinonetseka nezveAsperger uye mabatiro atinoita nevanhu chaivo. Sekuona kwangu, vanoda tekinoroji vari kungotamba nemoto” [12].
"Ini handisi kupokana nehunyanzvi, ndiri wekutaura. Zvisinei, iye zvino vazhinji vedu tiri "voga pamwe chete": vakaparadzaniswa kubva kune mumwe nemumwe ne teknolojia" [13].
- Dmitry Chuiko, mubatsiri weWhoosh
"Ini ndiri nyanzvi yezvetekinoroji. Ini handiteedzere matekinoroji matsva kana akasagadzirisa rimwe dambudziko. Muchiitiko ichi, zvinonakidza kuedza, asi ini ndinotanga kushandisa teknolojia kana inogadzirisa dambudziko chairo. Semuenzaniso, iyi ndiyo nzira yandakaedza magirazi eGoogle, asi handina kuwana kushandiswa kwayo, uye handina kuishandisa.
Ndinonzwisisa mashandiro anoita matekinoroji, saka handinetseki nezveruzivo rwangu. Pane humwe hutsanana hwedhijitari - seti yemitemo inodzivirira: mapassword akasiyana akasiyana panzvimbo dzakasiyana.
- Jaron Lanier, futurist, biometrics uye data visualization sainzi
"Nzira yetsika yedhijitari, yandinovenga, inonyatso shandura mabhuku ese ari munyika kuita rimwe chete, sezvakataurwa naKevin Kelly. Izvi zvinogona kutanga makore gumi anotevera. Kutanga, Google nemamwe makambani anozotarisa mabhuku kune gore sechikamu cheManhattan Project yetsika digitization.
Kana mukana wemabhuku ari mugore uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge uchinge waona bhuku rimwe chete pamberi pedu. Rugwaro ruchakamurwa kuita zvidimbu umo chirevo neunyori zvichavharika.
Izvi zviri kutoitika nezvakawanda zvemukati zvatinodya: kazhinji hatizive kwakabva chidimbu chenhau, ndiani akanyora mhinduro kana kuti ndiani akaita vhidhiyo. Kuenderera mberi kwemaitiro aya kuchaita kuti titaridzike semadzimambo echitendero emuMiddle Ages kana kuti North Korea, sangano rine bhuku rimwe chete.
Nyorera zvakare kuTrends Telegraph chiteshi uye gara uchienderana neazvino maitiro uye fungidziro nezveramangwana rehunyanzvi, hupfumi, dzidzo uye hunyanzvi.