Hurumende iri kuunza zvirambidzo zvichienderana nekuverenga kweane makore gumi nemapfumbamwe fan of statistics? "Ini ndinoedza kuunganidza ruzivo rwese mess kuti ive yakabatana"

Kufarira Michał Rogalski ane makore gumi nemapfumbamwe, munyori wechidzidzo "COVID-19 muPoland", hakusi kupera. Vazhinji vashandisi vepainternet vanokurudzira kuti hurumende inounza zvirango zvechirwere panguva yedenda zvichibva pakuongorora kwemudiki mushandisi weTwitter. Vakuru vehurumende vanozviramba, Rogalski anotsanangura.

1. Zvakazoitika kuti Interdisciplinary Center yeMathematical and Computational Modeling paYunivhesiti yeWarsaw, iyo inotsigira hurumende inoshandisa mukugadzirisa denda iri, inoisa ongororo yayo padata raRogalski.
2. "Chii chave chii kuti hurumende inotungamirwa nemachati ekutamba?" -Vashandisi ve Twitter vanobvunza.
3. Ruzha rwenhau rwakamuka rwakatenderedza nyaya yese runobva kune zvinotarisirwa munharaunda, data nezve denda rinofanirwa kuwanikwa kwete nemunhu akazvimirira, asi nesangano reveruzhinji - tsanangura vamiriri veICM.
4. Michał Rogalski: "Hurumende ine data yayo, yainoburitsa zvishoma, uye ini ndinoedza kuunganidza ruzivo rwese rwuri muhumwe hwakabatana"
5. Rumwe ruzivo nezve COVID-19 mamiriro anogona kuwanikwa pane TvoiLokony peji repamba

Michał Rogalski anobva kuŁódź ane makore gumi nemapfumbamwe ekuberekwa anozviratidza pa Twitter semufananidzo wekombuta. Akave nemukurumbira nekugadzira dhatabhesi padenda re coronavirus muPoland. Akaitumidza kuti "COVID-19 muPoland" uye anowedzera ruzivo nguva nenguva.

Kutevera zvirambidzo zvichangoburwa nehurumende, mibvunzo inotyisa yakabuda paInternet: Ko kuita kwepwere kungakanganisa kuedza kwehurumende kurwisa denda iri? Kana kuti kuvharika munyika kuchaitika zvichibva pane data yeamateur?

1. Lockdown muPoland zvichibva pane data rakaunganidzwa nemushandisi weinternet? Hezvino izvo zvatinoziva nezvenyaya iyi

Twitter yakasimudza musoro. "Ini handikwanise kuzunguza kuvhunduka (…) Ini ndanga ndisingazive kuti iwe wakagadzira iyi uye yega base muPL" - mumwe mushandisi akanyorera Rogalski. "Chii chave chii kuti hurumende inotungamirwa nemachati ekuzvivaraidza?" - vamwe vashandisi ve Twitter vakabvunza.

Hurumende ine ruzivo rwayo

Chokwadi ndechekuti hurumende inogamuchira ruzivo nezvekuvandudzwa kwedenda, huwandu hwenyaya uye kubuda kubva kumasangano ayo.

- Kubva pakatanga denda, poviat uye voivodship epidemiological sanitary zviteshi zvakavapa kune vovodes yega. Zvadaro mumwe nemumwe wavo anoaendesa kuMinistry of Health. Nechikonzero ichi, hurumende inogadzirira dhata renyika uye nhamba uye inozivisa, semuenzaniso, nezve huwandu hwemazuva ese hwehutachiona, kufa uye vanhu vakapora, anodaro mushandi wehofisi yevoivodeship uye anokumbira kusazivikanwa.

1. Kuvharirwa kwenyika muPoland yose kubva munaNovember 12? Ichi chimwe chezviitiko

Kune rimwe divi, kuvandudzwa kweiyo COVID-19 epidemiological modhi inoitwa nechikwata chakasarudzika chakagadzwa negurukota rezvehutano. Iwo masayendisiti kubva kuInterdisciplinary Center yeMathematical uye Computational Modelling paYunivhesiti yeWarsaw.

Chikwata ichi chinoshanda pamwe neDhipatimendi reOngororo uye Strategies yeBazi rezvehutano neHurumende Center yeChengetedzo uye basa rayo nderekufanotaura nzira dzekuenderera mberi kwedenda, kudzidza mamiriro akasiyana siyana uye mhedzisiro yezvirambidzo zvekutonga: kuvhara mashopu. , mabhaisikopo, mabhaisikopo, kukanzura zviitiko zvemitambo, nezvimwe.

Usade dhimoni VaMichał

Komputer Świat ndiye akatanga kubvunza nezvebasa raRogalski muzvisarudzo zvehurumende. Muchinyorwa "Lockdown muPoland zvichibva pane data rakaunganidzwa nemushandisi weinternet? Hezvino izvo zvatinoziva nezvenyaya iyi »zvakange zvakanyorwa: "hurumende muhurukuro dzayo iri kutsigira nechido ongororo uye kufungidzira kwakagadzirwa neInterdisciplinary Center yeMathematics uye Computational Modeling yeYunivhesiti yeWarsaw (…) Zvisinei, sezvaunogona kuverenga papeji imwe cheteyo, data rinoshandiswa neICM haribvi kwavari, kana kubva kuBazi rezvehutano, kana kune rimwe sangano rehurumende, uye ibasa ra… Michał Rogalski, ari paTwitter uye anomhanyisa dhatabhesi yake? “

Vashandi veModeling Center yeYunivhesiti yeWarsaw vanosimbisa kuti munhu wese anogona kugara pamberi pekombuta mangwanani ega ega uye kuisa data repamutemo muspredishiti.

- Izvo zvakafanana zvinoitwa naVaMichał. Anotevera nhamba dzakaburitswa neBazi reHutano neSanitary uye Epidemiological Station. Mashizha akagadzirwa naye akanyatso kurongeka uye anobatsira mukushandiswa. Asi ini handidi kuita dhimoni basa raVaMichał, nokuti kuunganidza deta idambudziko guru kudarika kuanyora, anotsanangura Dr. Franciszek Rakowski, mukuru weboka rinotarisana nekufananidza kweEpidemiological Model paICM.

Dhiyabhorosi data

Zvakare, Dr. Dominik Batorski anobva kuICM anosimbisa kuti chidzidzo chaMichał Rogalski chirongwa chepasi chisingaiti nenzira ipi zvayo kukanganisa basa remasayendisiti kubva kuYunivhesiti yeWarsaw.

-Iyo inonzi sainzi yevagari inzvimbo iri kusimukira zvakanyanya pasirese. Saka hazvishamisi kuti masayendisiti ashandise zvinhu zvinounganidzwa nenzira iyi. Mupiro mukuru waMichał uye kuzvipira kwakakodzera kukoshesa - anodaro Batorski. - Ruzha rwenhau, rwakamuka kubva kune tarisiro yemagariro kuti data rakadaro rinofanira kuitwa kwete nemunhu wega, asi nesangano rehurumende mune fomu yakakodzera kuongororwa - anowedzera.

Iyo modhi inoshandiswa neICM inoshandisa akawanda akasiyana data seti.

-Vanobva kuCentral Statistical Office, National Institute of Hygiene, Ministry of Health, uye data inofungidzira kufamba kwevanhu. Iyi i data yakaoma uye isu tinoyamwa mune yedu modhi. Isu tinoshandisawo izvo zvakapihwa naVaMichał. Uye sezvo chaive chishuwo chake kumaka zita rake, takazviita, 'Rakowski anosimbisa.

Uye anowedzera kuti mahofisi ehurumende achine zvakawanda zvekuita.

- Zvakare munzvimbo yekuunganidza nekugovana data nenzira ine hushamwari kune nzanga uye mumwe nemumwe. Asi hazvisi izvo zvatinoita tinofanira kuvakira pamapepa aVaRogalski. Izvo zviri nyore kwazvo kushandisa, musayendisiti anogumisa.

Takaona zvisina kufanira kuti VaMichał vakagamuchira chikumbiro chekushandira pamwe neICM. Zvisinei, akanga asingafariri.

1. Nhamba yepamusoro yezvirwere ichiri mberi kwedu. Nyanzvi dzakapa zuva

Haasi wechidiki anotonga nyika

Isu takabvunzawo Wojciech Andrusiewicz, mutauriri weBazi rezvehutano, kana sarudzo dzehurumende maererano nezvirambidzo zvechirwere munyika dzinoitwa pahwaro hwekuongororwa kwemushandisi weinternet ane makore gumi nemapfumbamwe. Akagamuchira mibvunzo yacho mangwanani eChishanu, asi kusvika zvino hatisati tawana mhinduro.

Zvisinei, dambudziko racho rakanyanya kutsanangurwa naMichał Rogalski pachake.

NeChishanu, akanyora paTwitter kuti: "Zvakanaka, hazvina kufanana neTEEN RUNS THE STATE !! (sezvinogoneka nenhau dzenhau). Zviito zvehurumende hazvibvi pane zvandinopinza papepa rebasa. Hurumende ine data yayo, yainoburitsa zvishoma, uye ini ndinoedza kuunganidza ruzivo rwese rwuri muhumwe hwakabatana ”.

Unogona kufarira:

1. Iye zvino COVID-19 Ichange Ishoma Kuuraya? Hezvino izvo zvinonzi virologist
2. Poland haidi rubatsiro rweGerman. Chii chataigona kuwana?
3. Nyanzvi inoti chii chinogona kumisa hutachiona hwedomino muPoland